🎣 J.B. Hunt Up 22%

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🎣 J.B. Hunt Up 22%

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Today's feature dives into J.B. Hunt's 22% stock jump and more in freight earnings.

Plus:

  • DOT Pulls $40M From California, Florida Files Suit
  • Fire Halts 40% of U.S. Aluminum Supply
  • Shippers Shift Sourcing to Dodge Tariff Pain

Correction: Thursday's newsletter story about Loadsmart used an old screenshot out of context. It’s been removed.


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🍳 What's Cookin' In Freight

⚖️ Florida Sues California as USDOT Withholds $40M Over CDL English Rules. Florida Attorney General James Uthmeier filed a lawsuit on October 15 against Governor Gavin Newsom and the state of California, alleging that its “sanctuary policies” enabled an unqualified truck driver involved in an August 12 crash on the Florida Turnpike that killed three people. That same day, U.S. Transportation Secretary Sean Duffy announced the withholding of $40,685,225 in federal Motor Carrier Safety Assistance Program funds after an audit found “systemic noncompliance” with English Language proficiency enforcement. “California is the only state in the nation that refuses to ensure big rig drivers can read our road signs and communicate with law enforcement,” Duffy said. Many voices noted that the move establishes a precedent for conditioning federal safety grants on state-level licensing compliance.

🔥 Novelis Fire Threatens 40% of U.S. Aluminum Supply, Disrupting Ford F-150 Production. A September 16 fire at Novelis’ New York aluminum plant has halted nearly 40% of U.S. aluminum supply, with operations expected to remain down until early 2026. The disruption is projected to cost Ford Motor Company up to $1 billion in earnings, according to Evercore ISI analyst Chris McNally. “We believe this is largely a Ford issue, although we are continuing to check knock-on effects for Stellantis and Toyota as well,” McNally said. Ford confirmed it is “working closely with Novelis” to minimize supply chain impacts. The impact is already being felt by some, as companies reliant on the material are having to pay a premium for it, which slows production, in turn, shipping lanes.

📦 3PL Customers Show Confidence in Adapting to Tariffs. Roughly 52% of shippers say they are confident or extremely confident in adapting to shifting U.S. trade policy and tariffs, according to the 30th annual Third-Party Logistics Study released October 7 at CSCMP’s 2025 Edge Conference. Led by Penn State’s C. John Langley, the report found 45% of shippers plan to use alternate sourcing destinations as their top near-term strategy, while 41% of 3PLs plan no immediate response. “Further research should add to our understanding of the long-term impacts that tariffs may have on supply chains,” the study’s authors wrote. Despite uncertainty, both shippers and 3PLs report maturing partnerships and steady outsourcing levels.


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Q3 Freight Barometer — J.B. Hunt, Prologis, and Triumph

Image Source: Craig Fuller/X

J.B. Hunt beat earnings expectations but still can’t squeeze profit from its brokerage arm. Prologis’ warehouse metrics hint at retailers quietly restocking, while Triumph’s factoring data shows owner-operators hanging on longer than expected.

Together, they paint a picture of a freight market still grinding through its reset phase.

J.B. Hunt

  • Revenue: $3.05B (flat YoY)
  • Operating income: $242.7M (+8%)
  • EPS: $1.76 (+18%)

Brokerage (ICS) was still slightly negative ($0.8M loss vs. $3.3M loss in Q3’24) but improved as headcount and tech costs fell.

J.B. Hunt’s focus on “lowering cost to serve” is paying off in intermodal efficiency, but brokers are still playing defense in a rate-rising environment. Investors took note, with the stock up 22.14% as of 12:15 PM today.

“I’m proud of our people for their hard work to deliver this improved financial performance … we remain confident in our long-term strategy focused on operational excellence … and execution on the efforts to lower our cost to serve.” – Shelley Simpson, President & CEO

Prologis

  • Record 62M sq ft of leases signed
  • Occupancy: 95.3% (steady)
“The logistics market is setting up for the next inflection in rent and occupancy growth, one of the most compelling setups I've seen in 40 years.” – CEO Hamid Moghadam

The world's largest warehouse owner says retailers are steadily rebuilding inventories. Warehouse scarcity is tightening again, which is an early signal of more freight movement ahead.

Triumph Financial

  • Revenue: $109.28M (+3% YoY)
  • Earnings Beat: $0.19 EPS (+58% vs est.)

CEO Aaron Graft’s letter showed a surprise resilience among independent truckers. The average factored invoice rose to $1,690, with owner-operator bills up 1.6% QoQ even as fleets slipped.

"The O/O has a lower fixed cost and more flexibility… they can park their truck, drive for Uber, and stay in the game longer.”

Triumph sees an inflection point coming as new government enforcement trims capacity, a theme worth watching into Q4.


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 đźŚŽ Around The Freight Web

Photo taken on FreightCaviar's trip to San Francisco. Documentary coming out soon!

⚓ Port Imports Surge. The Port of Los Angeles reported a record Q2, driven by a surge in imports from Asia. Container volumes rose 18% year-over-year, cementing its status as the nation’s busiest port.

đź’° Alvys Secures Funds. Alvys closed a $40 million Series B round to expand its cloud-based TMS. The funding aims to automate dispatch, billing, and tracking for small and mid-sized carriers through AI-driven workflow tools.

đź’Ľ Volvo Integrates Load Boards. Volvo Connect now consolidates access to over 40 load boards within its digital platform, giving carriers unified freight visibility and reducing time spent toggling between third-party apps and brokerage portals.

📲 DAT Launches Vetting Tool. DAT Freight & Analytics launched its Carrier Management Suite, integrating carrier vetting directly into DAT One. The system lets brokers filter carriers by authority, insurance, and safety data, with new Company Profiles and Qualification Settings improving match quality and fraud prevention.

🌊 Ocean Rates Drop. Global ocean shipping rates have fallen to their lowest levels since late 2023, with Trans-Pacific spot prices down nearly 40% year-to-date as vessel capacity outpaces slowing trade demand.


🎣 THE FREIGHT CAVIAR CORNER

  • FreightCaviar Podcast: We're talking with FleetWorks CEO Paul Singer, fresh off a $17M raise and the launch of their always-on-dispatcher for carriers. Hear how he's building the "super reps" of freight's tomorrow. The episode is on YouTube, Spotify, and Apple Podcasts.
  • Shipper CRM: A FreightCaviar product built for brokers to find, track, and win shipper freight. Click here to learn more.
  • FreightCaviar Forum: We launched a forum for brokers, carriers, and freight tech pros to connect, share insights, and trade industry intel.
  • Manifest 2026: The Manifest: The Future of Supply & Logistics agenda is live, featuring 150+ sessions and 400+ speakers across three days of unmatched learning and networking.  Save $200 on the current price with our special link.

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