🎣 Stockpiling Chaos

Plus: Two logistics firms shut down, Class 8 truck sales finally rise, Union Pacific flirts with a historic coast-to-coast merger, and more in today's newsletter.

🎣 Stockpiling Chaos

TGIF. U.S. brands are gorging on inventory like it’s 2020 toilet paper all over again. A 228% spike in Days of Inventory on Hand (DIOH) reveals the chaos. We break down the freight fallout in today’s feature.

Plus,

  • 😔 Two Logistics Firms Close Doors
  • 🤝 Union Pacific & Norfolk Southern Explore Historic Merger
  • 📈 Class 8 Sales Tick Up in June
  • ... and more.

Today's Newsletter is Brought to You By Rapido.

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🍳 WHAT’S COOKIN’ IN FREIGHT

Image Source: CSE

😔 Two Established Logistics Firms Are Shutting Down. Chicago Suburban Express and MacMillan-Piper have permanently shut down amid mounting financial strain in U.S. freight. CSX, founded in 1963, will close on July 19 after decades of regional service. Washington-based MacMillan-Piper, once a leading transloader, ceased operations on July 10 after losing lender support. WARN filings confirmed 109 layoffs across both firms. Industry analysts continue to cite tightened margins, rising operational costs, and unstable funding as key pressures on mid-sized carriers. The closures signal deepening instability in regional freight markets, particularly for firms reliant on legacy operations and limited financial flexibility. More shutdowns may follow as conditions remain volatile.

🤝 Union Pacific, Norfolk Southern in Early Merger Talks to Create First U.S. Coast-to-Coast Railroad. Union Pacific and Norfolk Southern are reportedly exploring a landmark merger that could unite the West’s largest rail carrier with one of the top Eastern operators, forming the first coast-to-coast Class I freight network. The combined company would control over 68,000 track miles across 45 states, with a joint market value nearing $200 billion. Talks are in early stages and unconfirmed publicly. Norfolk Southern shares rose 2.55% after-hours following the report, while Union Pacific slipped. The potential deal comes amid renewed Wall Street interest in rail consolidation following Donald Trump’s return to office and speculation that a pro-business Surface Transportation Board could ease merger approvals. If successful, this would be the most significant U.S. rail merger since 1999 and could reshape domestic freight flows for decades.

📈 June Class 8 Truck Sales Rise for First Time in 2025 Amid Mixed Outlook. U.S. Class 8 truck sales rose 12.5% year-over-year in June to 20,392 units, the first increase of 2025, per Wards Intelligence. The total was also up 8.6% from May. Despite the gain, year-to-date sales remain 5% below 2024. Analysts caution the rise may reflect inventory movement ahead of potential cutbacks, not sustained demand. Freightliner led with nearly 8,000 trucks sold. Still, weak order activity and soft freight conditions are fueling forecasts of a 10.5% annual sales decline. Manufacturers remain cautious as inflation, tariffs, and economic uncertainty cloud the second-half outlook.


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The Great Inventory Glut of '25

One number says it all: 228%.

That’s how much Days of Inventory on Hand (DIOH) surged over just two months, according to a recent analysis from supply chain software provider Deposco.

U.S. companies are gorging on goods, racing to import everything they can before Trump’s new tariffs fully take effect. And while freight volume may feel strong, the reality behind the scenes tells a much more chaotic, short-term story.

So what does that mean? In short: volatility, short-term gains, and a serious hangover incoming.

Why It’s Happening: The Tariff Tsunami

Deposco’s report is crystal clear: The 228% DIOH jump is a direct response to the tariff announcements, based on hard WMS transaction data between February and April 2025. It’s not speculative.

  • April/May: The initial panic buy as shown by the 228% DIOH increase.
  • June: The chaotic arrival. Record-breaking surge of containers at the Port of LA and a strain on regional warehouses.
  • July: Market sends mixed signals. Cass Index shows spending up, but volumes down, a potential “head-fake” masking soft demand and looming oversupply.

Inbound Logistics summed it up bluntly: “Brands are playing inventory management roulette in a high-stakes game against the tariff clock.”

The Port of LA’s Record-Breaking June

Port of Los Angeles Sets Record in June as Shippers Rush to Beat Tariffs
Port of Los Angeles sets June cargo record amid tariff-driven frontloading, with forecasts warning of steep drop post-August.

This inventory binge isn’t theoretical—it’s already slamming America’s ports.

June 2025 was the busiest June in the 117-year history of the Port of Los Angeles. Container volume surged 8% as shippers front-loaded everything they could.

Executive Director Gene Seroka confirmed the cause: “tariff unpredictability.”

But: The Port of Long Beach saw a decrease in volume. This lopsided surge shows just how chaotic and fragmented the rush has been across the San Pedro Bay and shows the logistical strain this inventory flood is causing.

Warehouse Realities: LMI Data Shows the System Buckling

Image Source: LMI

It’s not just the ports feeling it. According to the June Logistics Managers’ Index, inventory levels spiked, and warehousing capacity contracted for the first time since January 2023.

In other words, we’re officially running out of room.

While warehouse space remains tight in key port markets, national vacancy rates hit their highest levels since 2014 in Q2. Another sign of the chaos.

Inventory costs also hit their highest level since 2022, suggesting that not only are companies stockpiling, but they’re paying a premium to do it. The LMI report states that this “somewhat unseasonal activity” is being driven by importers trying to beat tariff deadlines.

Cass Freight Index Sends a Warning

Image Source: Cass Transportation Index Report

Here’s where it gets tricky. The June Cass Freight Index showed freight expenditures were up, even though shipment volumes were down.

That mismatch sent up red flags among Cass analysts, who dubbed it a “head-fake” caused by short-term urgency, not actual demand growth.

What Happens Next?

  • Expect continued urgent volume from panicked shippers, but brace for a sharp correction if warehouse space maxes out.
  • Truckload is winning now, but expect volatility. Watch warehousing data like a hawk.
  • This is the bullwhip effect in real time. A small policy shift (tariff threats) has created massive distortions in every corner of the supply chain.

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🌎 AROUND THE FREIGHT WEB

🚓 Cocaine Bust. Troopers discovered $1.8 million worth of cocaine hidden inside a tractor-trailer that “bypassed” a weigh station in Michigan. The driver is now facing federal charges following the drug bust.

👩‍💼 ArcBest CEO to Retire. Judy McReynolds, CEO of ArcBest, will retire after more than a decade in the role. President Seth Runser will lead the company effective Jan. 1, 2026.

📲 Modernizing Communication. TextLocate is reshaping how carriers communicate with drivers, offering real-time location tracking and automated messaging that reduce check calls and enhance operational visibility.

⚖️ Werner Loses Appeal. Werner lost its appeal in a deaf driver discrimination case. Though damages were reduced to $372K, the court upheld key ADA violations, rejecting arguments over “causation”, internal emails, safety records, and FMCSA waiver implications.

🚢 China May Block Port Sale. China may block the sale of CK Hutchison’s global port terminals to BlackRock and MSC unless Cosco is included, WSJ reports. The move could escalate tensions over foreign control of critical infrastructure.


🎣 THE FREIGHT CAVIAR CORNER

  • FreightCaviar Podcast: We sat down with Omer Ramusevic, founder of My Staffing Partner, to talk about Bosnia’s rise in logistics outsourcing, mindset gaps between U.S. and Balkan teams, and more. Catch it on YouTube, Spotify, or Apple Podcasts.
  • Manifest 2026: FreightCaviar community, tap into massive savings on Manifest 2026. Get registered now and save $1100 on your attendance price. Click here for details.
  • FreightJobs.co: TA Dedicated is looking for a Logistics Sales Rep in Eagan, MN. Full-time, $65–75K/year. Apply now on freightjobs.co!
  • Freight Broker Group Chat: Lost a load to a ghost MC? Just discovered a 15-layer carrier spoof ring? Come swap war stories, drop memes, and ask the stuff no one wants to post on LinkedIn. Join us on forum.freightcaviar.com

FREIGHT HUMOR

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