🎣 Tariff Talks Begin

Plus, a devastating semi-truck crash further calls for stricter English proficiency calls, Aurora Co-Founder resigns, truckers win $10.4M against brokerage, plus more.

🎣 Tariff Talks Begin

TGIF. Trade talks between the U.S. and China have been agreed to, with President Trump hinting at tariff rollbacks if everything goes smoothly. For now, impacts on freight movement continue. We break it all down in today's feature.

Plus:

  • 🚨 Major Semi Crash Prompts Questions
  • 💼 Aurora Co-Founder Steps Down
  • ⚖️ Drivers Win $10.4M in Broker Rate Dispute Case
  • ... and more.

Today's Newsletter is Brought To You By Convoy Platform.

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🐔 WHAT’S COOKIN’ IN FREIGHT

🚨 Alabama Crash Highlights Safety, English Proficiency Concerns in Trucking. A deadly Alabama crash adds to the growing concerns over road safety and driver qualifications after 45-year-old truck driver Andrii Dmyterko, in the U.S. on a work visa, was charged with vehicular manslaughter for plowing into stopped cars at a red light, killing two. Police confirmed Dmyterko required a translator to speak with investigators, echoing broader industry focus on making English proficiency essential among commercial drivers. “They’re going to pay,” said Thomasville Police Chief Mitchell Stuckey, vowing accountability. The crash, involving a truck owned by Chicago-based 4 US Transportation, comes amid national scrutiny over unqualified drivers and language barriers jeopardizing public safety.

💼 Aurora Reports Q1 Results, Co-Founder Sterling Anderson to Depart. Aurora Innovation announced first-quarter 2025 results alongside news that co-founder and Chief Product Officer Sterling Anderson will resign June 1, with his board departure following August 31. “Leaving Aurora is one of the most difficult decisions I’ve ever made,” Anderson said, praising the company’s momentum as it launched commercial self-driving truck operations in Texas. This move comes as a shock to some who questioning his decision amid such a boom period. Aurora has stated there is no ill-will in Anderson's departure and they he will be leaving for an "iconic global company" in a senior leadership role. CEO Chris Urmson stated that “autonomous freight is no longer just a vision, it’s a reality.”

⚖️ Drivers Win $10.4 Million Verdict Against Michigan Carrier in Contract Dispute. A federal court in Michigan awarded nearly $10.5 million to about 100 owner-operators in a case against RSP Express, alleging the carrier underpaid drivers on cross-border freight revenue. Judge Gershwin A. Drain found the company violated contract terms and committed fraud by underreporting gross revenues. “This is a major victory for working people,” attorney Keith Flynn told FreightWaves. The case adds to the list of concerns and fight for transparency in freight payments, echoing the ongoing broker rate transparency debate we’ve covered extensively (Broker Battlelines; TQL Transparency Fight).


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U.S.-China Talks Begin, But the Tariff Impact Isn't Over Yet

The U.S. and China have agreed to meet.

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Trade Rep. Jamieson Greer will sit down this weekend in Geneva with China’s top economic chief, He Lifeng, to try and de-escalate the tariff war that's whacked supply chains, stung shippers, and stalled ocean freight lanes.

But don’t mistake talks for relief.

“We’ve got to de-escalate before we move forward.”
— Scott Bessent, U.S. Treasury Secretary

Trump remains firm: no rollback unless China bends.
Meanwhile, Beijing is rolling out monetary stimulus and cash infusions to brace its economy for long-haul pain.

What's Already Happening

April's container volumes held strong, but declines are expected as shipments post-tariffs hit the schedules.

U.S.-China container shipping will unravel without intervention.

  • Hapag-Lloyd has canceled 30% of China–U.S. shipments.
  • Kuehne + Nagel expects 25–30% drop in bookings from China.
  • Maersk cut its 2025 market forecast from 4% growth to a possible 1% contraction.
  • Spot rates from Shanghai to LA hit lowest since 2023 (Drewry).
“Shippers are taking a wait-and-see approach. Recovery lags by 4–6 weeks after ocean bookings pick up.” — TD Cowen analyst Jason Seidl

Import volatility is throttling planning. Shippers rushed to beat tariffs in Q1. Now, uncertainty is grinding volumes and inflating short-term storage and warehousing needs.

Bilateral trade flows are drying up.

  • U.S. propane, soybeans, and coal are being rerouted mid-voyage.
  • Chinese factories are scaling back U.S.-bound production.

Werner Enterprises reported a $5.8M Q1 operating loss, citing tariff-related demand swings.

“We’re seeing stop-and-go activity and a muddied outlook from customers.”
— Derek Leathers, CEO, Werner

Their strategy? Delay equipment buys and trust in cross-border partnerships for flexibility.

Meanwhile, Toyota reported a $1.3B profit hit in just two months.

Why This Matters

  • Canceled sailings → Port gaps → Inland disruption.
    Expect soft volumes in LA/Long Beach and inconsistent drayage demand through June.
  • Uncertain tariffs = shaky rate forecasting.
    Brokers relying on predictable lanes and stable imports are seeing higher fall-offs and quoting blind on China-origin freight.
  • Shippers are stalling.
    Some are waiting out the next tariff headline before pulling the trigger. Others are pivoting lanes (Mexico, Vietnam, Europe).
“Some manufacturers are pausing imports and even slowing U.S. production.” — Mazen Danaf, Sr. Economist, Uber Freight

What Each Side Is Doing

China: Bracing for impact

  • Cut interest rates and reserve requirements
  • Released ¥1 trillion ($137.6B) in liquidity
  • Focused funding on factories, services, and elder care

U.S.: Standing firm

  • Trump won’t ease the 145% tariffs upfront
  • Messaging focuses on “fair trade” and bringing jobs back
  • Domestic pressure rising: Q1 GDP contracted by 0.3%
“You can’t get any higher. It’s at 145%, so we know it’s coming down,” Trump said.

Meanwhile, Trump is signaling he’s open to fast-tracking trade with allies. Yesterday, he announced a “breakthrough” trade deal with the UK, cutting auto tariffs, eliminating steel duties, and expanding access for U.S. beef and ethanol.

For China, the Geneva talks are progress, but not peace. Trump’s tariffs are still law. China’s counterpunches are still active. Until real concessions land on paper, this is a storm with no set end date.


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🌎 AROUND THE FREIGHT WEB

Image Source: KevinHill/LinkedIn

📉 Freight Brokerage Decline. Kevin Hill shared data that active freight brokerages continue to decline year-over-year. He noted that in Q1 2025, 937 new brokerage authorities were granted, while 1,317 were revoked.

🤝 Manifest Acquired! Hyve Group has officially acquired Manifest: The Future of Supply Chain & Logistics, the fast-growing global supply chain tech event. The event, launched by Connectiv over 5 years ago, now joins a world-class event portfolio.

📈 Forward Air Q1 Results. Forward Air reported revenue growth and a smaller net loss of $61.2 million (-$1.68 per diluted share) in Q1. However, revenue increased 13.2% to 613.3 million from $541.8 million.

CDL Medical Deadline. A May 10 deadline looms for 15,000 commercial drivers after the FMCSA voided medical certificates issued by two Houston doctors, threatening license suspensions for those who fail to submit new medical certification by the deadline.

📊 RXO's Ups and Downs. RXO reported a 57% increase in total revenue—rising to $1.43 billion from $913 million—but posted a larger quarterly loss of $20 million due to transactions, integration, restructuring, and other related costs.

💡 Temu’s Plan. Temu is pursuing local fulfillment strategies in the U.S. to bypass import tariffs. With locally based U.S. sellers handling orders, “The move is designed to help local merchants reach more customers and grow their business,” said a Temu spokesperson.


🎣 THE FREIGHT CAVIAR CORNER

  • Thanks CtrlChain! Big thanks to CtrlChain team for graciously hosting FreightCaviar at their Eindhoven headquarters this week. Amazing content in the works.
  • The FreightCaviar Podcast: We sit down with the WireBee team—co-founders Andre Temnorod, Solomiya Tomkiv, and tech lead Alex Boruz– to talk fraud-fighting tech, startup hustle, and what they’re building next. Catch it on YouTube, Spotify, or Apple Podcasts.
  • Freight Jobs!: Genpro is looking for a Corporate Sales Executive and a Sales Manager to join their growing team. Big opportunities, bigger goals, check them out now.
  • FreightCaviar Forum: Now Live! A space built for brokers, carriers, dispatchers, and freight tech to connect, share, and learn from one another. Sign up now here.

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