The U.S. just slapped a 25% tariff on steel and aluminum imports. Plus: Super Bowl freight surged 38%, a $600K chassis theft ring was busted at the Port of LA, and Amazon’s strong Q4 fueled speculation about an Old Dominion acquisition.
Yellow, who had a 10% share of the LTL market, halted operations on Sunday and is expected to file for Chapter 7 bankruptcy today. This anticipated move is poised to cause a significant shift in the market share of the industry. Among the companies expected to reap the benefits are non-union carriers XPO Logistics, SAIA, and Old Dominion Freight Line, owing to their flexible cost structures and recent gains in market share.
Already in late June, analysts from the Bank of America had projected a potential bankruptcy for Yellow and identified the companies most likely to profit from such a development. Their top picks were XPO, SAIA, and Old Dominion Freight Line. These predictions seem to be aligning with the reality as the Year-to-Date (YTD) share prices of these companies have shown exceptional performance since the release of the report.
The stock price of XPO has seen a surge of 21% (an impressive 121% YTD) while SAIA has grown by 24% (104% YTD). Similarly, Old Dominion's shares have risen by 15%, marking a 54% increase YTD. This exceptional growth could be the first indicator of the positive market effects these companies are likely to experience as a result of Yellow's bankruptcy.
SAIA's stock has also seen a triple-digit Year-to-Date (YTD) increase of 104%, with an additional 24% surge following the Bank of America report.Old Dominion Freight Line's stock has experienced a 51% increase Year-to-Date (YTD), with an additional 15% rise since the release of the Bank of America report.
.@Yellow_Trucking is(was) 10% of the LTL market. 3rd largest LTL carrier in the country.
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