📉 Freight Market 2022 vs. 2023

Plus, uncover the sudden shutdown of a 150-fleet trucking company & get the scoop on the Chicago warehouse hoarding $5M in stolen shoes.

📉 Freight Market 2022 vs. 2023

Happy Hump Day. In today's feature story, we unpack J.B. Hunt's Q3 2023 earnings report and speculate on its broader market implications. Also in the newsletter: the unexpected shutdown of Twin Express, the discovery of a $5 million shoe heist in Chicago, and don't miss our blurb on the 2024 recession forecasts by top executives.


Today's Newsletter is Brought to You By Rapido.

In today's email:

  • Three Freight Headlines: Twin Express, Inc. silently shuts down, Chicago police bust a $5M shoe heist, and CEOs speak out about a potential recession.
  • J.B. Hunt Q3 2023 Earnings Snapshot
  • Around the Freight Web: Anticipated 2024 recession, dropping diesel prices, CEVA's new robotic logistics, and more.
  • Freight Meme of the Day
  • Carrier of the Week

TOP LANE MOVERS POWERED BY GREENSCREENS.AI

*Greenscreens.ai forecasts real-time truckload buy prices that are suited to each freight brokerage's purchasing power using AI and machine learning. Its engine takes into account over 130 attributes and data points in each rate forecast.


🐔 WHAT'S COOKIN' IN FREIGHT

🚚 Rogers, MN-Based Twin Express, Shuts Down. Twin Express a trucking company with over 150 tractors, recently ceased operations without much notice. Whispers of this quiet shutdown began circulating in forums as early as September, yet no official statement has emerged. The closure is made evident by their now-unreachable website and a clear "Permanently Closed" banner on Google. While trucking closures make the news, it's important to note how many companies close without hitting the headlines.

👟 $5 Million in Stolen Shoes Uncovered. Chicago police have cracked a major theft ring at a warehouse in the Austin neighborhood where nearly $5 million worth of high-end shoes, including Nikes and Yeezys, were stashed. Thieves targeted freight trains, swiping goods from rail cars across the country. The sophisticated operation involved re-labeling and reselling stolen merchandise, often at a 100% markup. Two individuals have been charged, with more under investigation. The surge in cargo theft is a significant concern nationwide, costing retail and transport companies billions.

📉 2024 Recession Warnings: CEOs Speak Out, Trucking's Potential Immunity. Several top executives, including the CEOs of JPMorgan, Citibank, Wells Fargo, PNC, and BLC, anticipate a mild recession in 2024 due to aggressive Federal Reserve interest rate hikes. However, Bob Costello, the Chief Economist of the American Trucking Association, believes the trucking industry will likely remain unaffected, having already undergone a downturn from late 2022 to 2023. As U.S. trade shifts favorably towards Mexico and Canada, the overall economy faces challenges with fluctuating inflation rates and consumer spending.


TOGETHER WITH RAPIDO

Rapido is a top nearshore staffing company providing logistics and supply chain talent to companies in the United States. Based in Guadalajara, Mexico, Rapido offers a unique combination of cost savings and access to a skilled workforce, making it an attractive option for American logistics businesses.

See what makes nearshoring to Mexico an attractive option for scaling a logistics company and how partnering with Rapido Solutions Group simplifies the whole process.


J.B. Hunt Q3 2023 Earnings Snapshot

A misleading graph, but if you examine the two final figures, it offers a good comparison of the market's state today versus last year. In Q3 of last year, J.B. Hunt generated $3.838 billion in revenue. This year, they recorded $3.164 billion, which is a 17.6% decrease YoY.

J.B. Hunt's operating income is derived from five business segments: JBI (Intermodal), Dedicated Contract Services (DCS), ICS (Integrated Capacity Solutions), FMS (Final Mile Services), and JBT (Truckload).

  • In terms of their contribution to operating income:
    • JBI (Intermodal) accounts for 53%
    • DCS (Dedicated Contract Services) represents 42%
    • ICS (Integrated Capacity Solutions, aka freight brokerage) stands at -4%
    • FMS (Final Mile Services) contributes 6%
    • JBT (Truckload) is 3%.

Let's take a look at some key segment highlights.

Integrated Capacity Solutions (ICS)

Photo Source: J.B. Hunt.

J.B. Hunt's brokerage segment faced significant challenges this quarter. It was the only business segment to report an operating income loss. Key data points reveal:

  • Revenue: $298 million, a drop of 48% from Q3 2022.
  • Operating Income: A loss of $9.4 million, contrasting sharply with the $13.4 million income in Q3 2022.
  • Volume: Overall segment volume fell 38% year-over-year.
  • Revenue per Load: Saw a decline of 17% from Q3 2022, influenced by changing contractual rates and freight mix.
  • Contractual Volume: Represented 68% of total load volume and 67% of total revenue, up significantly from 49% and 52% in Q3 2022, respectively.
  • Gross Profit: Plummeted by 53% due to reduced volume, revenue, and profit margins. Margins slipped to 12.8% from 14.2% year-over-year.
  • Carrier Base: Contracted by 17% year-over-year, mainly due to shifts in carrier qualification requirements.

Truckload (JBT)

A segment grappling with revenue declines despite volume upticks.

Revenue per load experienced a 22% decline in Q3 2023 YoY. However, it remains significantly higher than in 2019 or 2020. Source: J.B. Hunt.
  • Revenue: Dropped by 17%, resulting in $196 million.
  • Revenue per Load (Excluding Fuel Surcharge): Faced a sharp 22% decline.
  • Load Volume: Despite challenges, observed a 6% increase.
  • Operating Income: A worrying trend, with a fall of 48%, driven by higher transportation, equipment, and technology costs.

Intermodal (JBI)

J.B. Hunt's strongest business segment is Intermodal. It is the largest fleet in North America. 53% of their operating income comes from this intermodal division.

  • Revenue: Declined by 15%, totaling $1.56 billion.
  • Volume: Saw a modest increase of 1% over 2022.
  • Revenue per Load (Excluding Fuel Surcharge): Decreased by 14%, influenced by changes in freight mix, customer rates, and lower fuel surcharge revenue.
  • Operating Income: Took a significant hit, down by 41%. Rises in wages, benefits, and equipment-related expenses impacted this drop.
  • Fleet Augmentation: A silver lining with the addition of 906 net new trailers this quarter.

Summary

3Q 2023 Results vs. 3Q 2022. Photo Source: J.B. Hunt Earnings Presentation.

In conclusion, J.B. Hunt's Q3 2023 earnings report showed notable challenges across its business segments. The company witnessed an overall revenue decline of 18%, reaching $3.16 billion. While some sectors like Intermodal observed slight volume growth, they faced setbacks in revenue and operational costs. The Integrated Capacity Solutions and Truckload segments saw significant downturns in both revenue and operating income.

If you'd like to read their entire report, which also delves into their DCS (Dedicated Contract Services) and FMS (Final Mile Services), click here.

Bonus: Prologis Earnings

Prologis, the San Francisco-based logistics real estate operator, reported strong Q3 results, with an occupancy rate of 97.1% and a massive increase in net effective rent change to 84%. While leasing decreased by 9% y/y, the current freight market shows retailers building inventory for the holiday season, leading to packed warehouses and increased rents. Despite these highs, Prologis observed a slowing demand, hinting at market normalization, and an unexpected persistence in capacity, keeping freight rates lower for an extended period.

Sources: J.B. Hunt | Prologis


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AROUND THE FREIGHT WEB

👎 Q4 Freight Momentum Fades. Craig Fuller (@freightalley) tweeted that the hopeful Q4 freight market momentum has waned due to excess capacity.

⛽ Diesel Price Trend. Retail diesel prices appear to be dropping, even as global events hinted at potential increases.

🦾 CEVA's Robotic Future. CEVA Logistics integrates Boston Dynamics’ Stretch robot to boost transload facility speed in LA.

🚂 Colorado Train Derailment. A tragic BNSF coal train derailment in Colorado resulted in a fatality and major interstate disruptions.

🚚 Volvo's Efficiency Triumph. Volvo Trucks unveils SuperTruck 2, achieving a 134% boost in freight efficiency, surpassing set goals.

🤖 AI in Truck Insurance. Nirvana raises $57M to integrate AI into commercial trucking insurance, highlighting the tech's potential industry shift.


FREIGHT CONFERENCES WE'RE ATTENDING

Many enterprise shippers will be attending Manifest this February in Las Vegas. Use our link for a $200 discount.
  • Feb. 5th-7th, 2024: Manifest Vegas, February 5 - 7, 2024, is the world's largest global supply chain & logistics tech event, bringing together Fortune 500 global supply chain executives, logistics service providers, cutting-edge startups, venture investors, and technology leaders.  Join 4,500+ supply chain innovators to foster new strategies and relationships. Receive $200 off your ticket with our exclusive link.
  • November 7th-9th, 2023: F3, taking place in Chattanooga, TN November 7th-9th. The heart of Freight Alley and home to FreightWaves—will come alive once again with the largest festival in freight November 7-9, 2023. Bringing together experts, entrepreneurs, industry leaders, educators and more to discuss the key factors impacting freight markets and the latest trends pushing our industry forward. Receive $500 off your ticket with our exclusive link.

FREIGHT MEME OF THE DAY


CARRIER OF THE WEEK PRESENTED BY LOSTFR8.COM

Santa Barbara Freight is based out of Paso Robles, CA.

Founded by former Marine, TJ O’Doan, in 2004, SBF boasts a fleet of 70 tractors and reefers, specializing in wine transportation with terminals in CA and TX. The company, which also runs Pacific Coast Transport brokerage, offers diverse LTL services across the southern U.S. and is eyeing expansion into Las Vegas and Saint Louis. Reed, who met TJ via Twitter, praises SBF's unique operations and TJ's journey from a driver to building a cross-country operation in 20 years.

Check out Santa Barbara Freight’s lostfr8.com profile.


Also, check out:

  • 🎧 The FreightCaviar Podcast. Listen to this week's podcast on Spotify & Apple Podcasts.
  • ☕️ FreightCaviar Fall Essentials: purchase a FreightCaviar sticker, hoodie, long-sleeve, or mug by clicking here. Use code FC10 to receive a 10% discount.
  • 🤝 Master the essentials of freight brokering with Freight360's comprehensive online course, tailored for both aspiring brokers and current agents looking to enhance sales and operations. Receive $150 off your course with our code FREIGHTCAVIAR. Click here to learn more.

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